A Continuous Time GARCH Process Driven by a Lévy Process: Stationarity and Second Order Behaviour

نویسنده

  • Alexander Lindner
چکیده

We use a discrete time analysis, giving necessary and sufficient conditions for the almost sure convergence of ARCH(1) and GARCH(1,1) discrete time models, to suggest an extension of the (G)ARCH concept to continuous time processes. Our “COGARCH” (continuous time GARCH) model, based on a single background driving Lévy process, is different from, though related to, other continuous time stochastic volatility models that have been proposed. The model generalises the essential features of discrete time GARCH processes, and is amenable to further analysis, possessing useful Markovian and stationarity properties. AMS 2000 Subject Classifications: primary: 60G10, 60J25, 91B70 secondary: 91B28, 91B84

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

First Jump Approximation of a Lévy Driven SDE and an Application to Multivariate ECOGARCH Processes

The first jump approximation of a pure jump Lévy process, which converges to the Lévy process in the Skorokhod topology in probability, is generalised to a multivariate setting and an infinite time horizon. It is shown that it can generally be used to obtain “first jump approximations” of Lévy-driven stochastic differential equations, by establishing that it has uniformly controlled variations....

متن کامل

An exponential continuous time GARCH process

In this paper we introduce an exponential continuous time GARCH(p, q) process. It is defined in such a way that it is a continuous time extension of the discrete time EGARCH(p, q) process. We investigate stationarity, mixing and moment properties of the new model. An instantaneous leverage effect can be shown for the exponential continuous time GARCH(p, p) model.

متن کامل

On the Stationarity of Markov-Switching GARCH Processes

GARCH models with Markov-switching regimes are often used for volatility analysis of …nancial time series. Such models imply less persistence in the conditional variance than the standard GARCH model, and potentially provide a signi…cant improvement in volatility forecast. Nevertheless, conditions for asymptotic wide-sense stationarity have been derived only for some degenerated models. In this...

متن کامل

Multivariate COGARCH(1,1) processes

Multivariate COGARCH(1,1) processes are introduced as a continuous-time models for multidimensional heteroskedastic observations. Our model is driven by a single multivariate Lévy process and the latent timevarying covariance matrix is directly specified as a stochastic process in the positive semidefinite matrices. After defining the COGARCH(1,1) process, we analyze its probabilistic propertie...

متن کامل

Modeling Variance of Variance: The Square-Root, the Affine, and the CEV GARCH Models∗

This paper develops a new econometric framework for investigating how the sensitivity of the financial market volatility to shocks varies with the volatility level. For this purpose, the paper first introduces the square-root (SQ) GARCH model for financial time series. It is an ARCH analogue of the continuous-time square-root stochastic volatility model popularly used in derivatives pricing and...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2004